Tuesday, December 6, 2011

Sold on Tebow? (Tyler)

So I've had a couple of people ask me if i'm on the Tim Tebow bandwagon yet. Here is my Response.... NO! Now let me tell you why.

  1. Tebow has started now 7 games. Against Miami, Detroit, Oakland, Kansas City, New York Jets, San Diego, and Minnesota. Losing only to Detroit. In these games he has thrown a total of 158 times or about 22/game and has completed 75 for a 47.5% completion percentage and has been sacked 18 times. He has however thrown 10 TD to 1 INT which is good. Kyle Orton (who Tebow replaced) in 5 games against Oakland, Cincinnati, Tennessee, Green Bay, and San Diego had to throw 155 times or about 31/game completing 91 for a 58.7% completion percentage and was sacked 9 times. He however threw 8 TD to 7 INT which isn't great. Because Tebow hasn't really shown he can manage a game as a QB throwing the ball the Broncos have switched to an Option based offense that works with Tebow's strengths which is running the ball. He has run the ball 82 times! for 468 yards and 3 TD. He is 2nd in rushing on the team behind Willis McGahee.
  2. Speaking of running the ball that brings me to my next point. Where were the Denver RBs at the beginning of the season? The Broncos in the first 5 games of the year with Orton at QB rushed for 102 yards per game. With Tebow in the next 7 games they are rushing for 200 yards per game! I don't know if the offensive line just really sucks at pass coverage or what, but the Broncos are getting it done on the ground with Tebow and McGahee, and Lance Ball for that matter. The Option offense is helping this of course but you don't run the option offense unless you don't trust your QB to throw the ball.
  3. Has anyone noticed the teams that Kyle Orton had to play compared to Tebow? Orton played all healthy teams at the beginning of the year including Oakland, Cincinnati, Tennessee, Green Bay, and San Diego! Compared to Tebow who has played less than healthy teams later in the year like Miami,Oakland, Kansas City, Minnesota, and he gets the Chicago Bears this weekend without Cutler or Forte! Really!
  4. My last point is the Denver defense has really stepped up their game from the beginning of the year, really putting the clamp down on teams like Miami...267 total yards, 4 sacks, and 2 forced fumbles. Oakland...2 sacks, 3 Int, and 2 forced fumbles. Kansas City...258 total yards, 4 sacks, 1 forced fumble. New York Jets...318 total yards, 3 sacks, 1 Int, and 3 forced fumbles. San Diego...344 total yards, 3 sacks. Minnesota... 3 sacks, 2 Int, and 1 forced fumble. This defense has come to play and they are showing it and really helping out Tebow by limiting the opposing offenses in scoring and creating turnovers. 
My final analysis is that i would love to have Tim Tebow on my team as the starting RB cause he can run the ball well, but as for him being a good QB i think not. And give props to John Fox for understanding and utilizing the strengths of Tebow and giving him and this team the best chance to win games. However i do believe that the Option offense will not work for very long in the NFL and just like the Wildcat in Miami, that offense will falter and go back to being a 1-5 play-per-game system. At that point you need a QB that can make plays with his arm and i don't see Tebow being able to do that.

6 comments:

  1. Tim Tebow is like many other qb's in the league who play unconventional football ala Vick,and Vince Young. They look like the best qb's in the league for a half a season or for some a little longer and then when the good coaches finally get some film on these guys they exploit their weaknesses and then they are figured out and once their weaknesses are exploited every other coach starts to copy and that once great qb is no longer that good. Though Tebow is a good guy I think once they figure him out he will go downhill real fast.

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  2. Shelby Nielson12/7/11, 7:51 AM

    I don't think you guys realize just how bad Kyle Orton is. The Broncos were terrible with him. I'm no Tebow crazy fanatic but if you line up even the passing stats this year the only thing orton wins in is completion percentage. Tebow wins in QB rating of 87.9 to 75.7, Touchdown/int rate, yards on almost equal attempts, and most importainly in wins. 6-1 to 1-4. Say what you want about Tebow but he is a winner. Not saying the option will work forever, because it won't. Tebow has to develop even more as a passer, but that is happening. He gets better throwing each week.(see the minnesota game.) What happened to the time when QBs had the time to develop. Tebow has started 10 total games in his career. record 7-3.
    Go Broncos

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  3. Not saying that Orton is some all-star QB but i do think he is better at the Quarterback position. Maybe he just isn't a good leader and the team doesn't respond to him i don't know. Did you see how badly Minnesota's DB's coverage was on the Broncos receivers? They were so wide open i could have thrown those TD passes. Good Grief!

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  4. Granted however he is improving in his passing for sure. But the QB rating is a little skewed with Tebow throwing 60 less passes than Orton would in 7 games. (according to average passes per game) His TD/INT ratio is really good though like i said, and shows he is not making stupid decisions.

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  5. Nice Blog Guy's! I'll be tuning in.

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  6. Orton is not that good either which makes the whole situation even better. Three qb's and no real qb. When the broncos struggle it makes everything else better.

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